07

The Identification Decision Framework

Systematic observation beats guesswork. Follow this structured approach to avoid anchoring bias and produce reliable identifications.

Step 1 — Record Before You Interpret

Before deciding what you're seeing, document these raw observables using only what your senses tell you, without labelling:

Record

Direction & Elevation

Compass bearing (use phone compass) and angle above horizon. "Low in the east" is imprecise. "Bearing 095°, elevation 15°" is actionable.

Record

Motion Pattern

Steady line? Arc? Hovering? Rising/descending? Use a fixed reference to confirm motion is real (not autokinetic). Note angular speed: did it cross your fist-width at arm's length in 5 seconds or 5 minutes?

Record

Light Characteristics

How many lights? What colours? Steady or flashing? If flashing: how fast? Regular or irregular? Note if colours appear to change (scintillation?).

Record

Sound

Completely silent? Faint buzz? Rumble? Rhythmic beat? Note the delay between visual and audio cues. Record ambient noise level — wind, traffic, music — which may mask a faint source.

Step 2 — Apply Discriminators

RAPID IDENTIFICATION FLOWCHART IS IT MOVING? NO STAR / PLANET / TOWER YES IS IT FLASHING? STEADY SATELLITE (if moving) YES CAN YOU HEAR IT? SILENT DISTANT AIRCRAFT / HIGH DRONE AUDIBLE WHAT SOUND? HIGH BUZZ DRONE (CLOSE) LOW RUMBLE JET AIRCRAFT THWAP-THWAP HELICOPTER FINAL DISCRIMINATOR: DURATION < 5 SEC = METEOR | 2–5 MIN = SATELLITE PASS | > 5 MIN = PLANET/STAR/TOWER | VARIABLE = AIRCRAFT/DRONE

Simplified rapid-ID flowchart — use in the field for first-pass classification

Step 3 — Cross-Reference

Use Sky Lens or similar tools to match your observation time, location, and direction against known aircraft positions (ADS-B), satellite passes (TLE data), and celestial objects (ephemeris). The goal is to either confirm a candidate or rule everything out — which is itself valuable intelligence.

← Airspace Classification Common Confusables →

Cross-reference your sky observation against live ADS-B data, satellite passes, and weather.

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